Ottawa Senators (present and past) TIDBITS & QUICK HITS!

wprager wrote:One more sleep before the Sens play again.  Here's an interesting stat to ponder:

http://www.sportingcharts.com/nhl/stats/team-pdo-numbers-save-plus-shooting-percentage/2015/

Ottawa is third in team PDO.  PDO is simply the sum of your shooting percentage and your SV%.  These numbers tend to usually regress to the mean, which would be 100.  A PDO of around 104 is considered pretty high and usually not sustainable over the course of a full season.  The Rangers lead with a PDO of 104.6 -- not very long ago they were even higher than that.  Down Goes Brown recently wrote an article about how Washington may actually be the team to watch in the East, and not the Rangers or Montreal.  One of the reasons he listed in knocking the Rangers down a bit was their very high PDO.  Washington is 5th in the league -- the implication was that the Rangers and Montreal -- they sit second -- are doing it with "smoke-and-mirrors", relying too much on unsustainably high shooting percentage and great goaltending, while the Caps are doing it by simply outplaying their opposition.

Not sure what to think about the Sens being 3rd.  Clearly they are there because they are winning despite routinely being outshot.  So a high shooting percentage and a high SV%.  Their team SV% is .920 which is not outrageous (6th highest in the league).  The team shooting percentage is 2nd only to the Habs (11.25 versus 11.56).  But here's an interesting twist on things:

http://www.sportingcharts.com/nhl/teams/4967/ottawa-senators/#Shooting%20%25$SeasonMax=9999&SeasonMin=1900

The high shooting percentage is actually a trend over the last three seasons.  Back in 2012 they hit rock bottom at 7%, then went up to 8.5 and 9.1 in successive seasons, before zooming over 11 this season.  We're just at the quarter mark so it's still considered early, but three years of improvement in a row isn't coincidence, it's trend.  

wprager wrote:That wasn't rage, that was indignation.

SeawaySensFan wrote:

wprager wrote:That wasn't rage, that was indignation.  

Mission. Accomplished.

wprager wrote:

SeawaySensFan wrote:

wprager wrote:That wasn't rage, that was indignation.  

Mission. Accomplished.

We're on a mission to indignate.

wprager wrote:Erik Karlsson is on a pace for 18 goals, 89 points, +37.

Ryan: 30 g, 74 pts
Turris: 41 g, 70 pts
Hoffman: 35 g, 82 pts (only played 18, assuming plays 78)
Stone: 16 g, 76 pts (played 20, assuming plays 80)
Zibanejad: 16 g, 60 pts
Pageau: 22 g, 33 pts

Would be nice to get MacArthur back because right now we don't have top-six.  Pageau is the next leading forward but he's the 3LC.  If Michalek could heat up that would be interesting.  Rotating the likes of Lazar and Prince through the top-six is not going to work for very long.

SpezDispensed wrote:

wprager wrote:Erik Karlsson is on a pace for 18 goals, 89 points, +37.

Ryan: 30 g, 74 pts
Turris: 41 g, 70 pts
Hoffman: 35 g, 82 pts (only played 18, assuming plays 78)
Stone: 16 g, 76 pts (played 20, assuming plays 80)
Zibanejad: 16 g, 60 pts
Pageau: 22 g, 33 pts

Would be nice to get MacArthur back because right now we don't have top-six.  Pageau is the next leading forward but he's the 3LC.  If Michalek could heat up that would be interesting.  Rotating the likes of Lazar and Prince through the top-six is not going to work for very long.

I agree about the impact Mac will have, but it makes things fresh when you put in some skilled youth there.  Lazar has played more like we expected recently, although the points aren't there, Prince had two solid games in a row, michalek can sub in there too.   I guess it's good that we're see who works and who doesn't for future injuries too.  

Getting back a healthy Mac though...

SpezDispensed wrote:

wprager wrote:Erik Karlsson is on a pace for 18 goals, 89 points, +37.

Ryan: 30 g, 74 pts
Turris: 41 g, 70 pts
Hoffman: 35 g, 82 pts (only played 18, assuming plays 78)
Stone: 16 g, 76 pts (played 20, assuming plays 80)
Zibanejad: 16 g, 60 pts
Pageau: 22 g, 33 pts

Would be nice to get MacArthur back because right now we don't have top-six.  Pageau is the next leading forward but he's the 3LC.  If Michalek could heat up that would be interesting.  Rotating the likes of Lazar and Prince through the top-six is not going to work for very long.

I agree about the impact Mac will have, but it makes things fresh when you put in some skilled youth there.  Lazar has played more like we expected recently, although the points aren't there, Prince had two solid games in a row, michalek can sub in there too.   I guess it's good that we're see who works and who doesn't for future injuries too.  

Getting back a healthy Mac though...

spader wrote:

SpezDispensed wrote:

wprager wrote:Erik Karlsson is on a pace for 18 goals, 89 points, +37.

Ryan: 30 g, 74 pts
Turris: 41 g, 70 pts
Hoffman: 35 g, 82 pts (only played 18, assuming plays 78)
Stone: 16 g, 76 pts (played 20, assuming plays 80)
Zibanejad: 16 g, 60 pts
Pageau: 22 g, 33 pts

Would be nice to get MacArthur back because right now we don't have top-six.  Pageau is the next leading forward but he's the 3LC.  If Michalek could heat up that would be interesting.  Rotating the likes of Lazar and Prince through the top-six is not going to work for very long.

I agree about the impact Mac will have, but it makes things fresh when you put in some skilled youth there.  Lazar has played more like we expected recently, although the points aren't there, Prince had two solid games in a row, michalek can sub in there too.   I guess it's good that we're see who works and who doesn't for future injuries too.  

Getting back a healthy Mac though...

This is a bigger problem than I think you realize. Lazar needs to score if he's going to get primo minutes.