SpezDispenser wrote: rooneypoo wrote: SpezDispenser wrote: rooneypoo wrote: SpezDispenser wrote:I'm gonna go ahead and say it again:
I think Murray's believes Noesen's upside is higher (than Foligno's).
I think Murray believes in the Bogeyman, and unicorns.
These statements are useless. The "I think X actually believes Y..." formula is 100% speculation.
There's a reason Foligno isn't around. There's also a reason we didn't pay him 3.1 X 3 years. That reason? Murray believes Noesen and I guess Zibanejad can play a similar role - for less $$. I like the sound of Methot, but getting a D-man wasn't the only reason we traded Foligno - he had become redundant. Whether you want to say it's Player X or Player Y that made him redundant, I don't really care, but my take is that Murray believes Noesen's upside is higher than Foligno's and he cashed in the chips now.
Foligno isn't around because we didn't want to pay him $3+ mil, and because we didn't view him as anything other than a fringe top 6er / tweener. I agree that the organization clearly believes that they can slot someone else in there for cheaper to get similar production (i.e., Latendresse, Regin, Silf, etc.).
Where you err is in assuming that trading Foligno had anything whatsoever to do with the organization's opinion of Noesen. There's no connection there. Noesen is not going to play in the NHL this year. We weren't going to get Methot for Noesen (no chance). What we did with Foligno literally has nothing to do with Noesen, and doesn't tell us anything about the organization's opinion of the latter -- just the former.
The other issue is that your original statement ("I think from what I read that management is much higher on Noeson then what they thought Foligno could be") made it sound like you were saying that you thought BM was higher on 19 year old Noesen than 19 year old Foligno, which to me is absolute horse Dung. Every organization is high on its 1st round draft picks, and thinks/hopes they will become top 6ers / impact players.
Yeah, anyway: trading Foligno tells us nothing about the organization's opinion of Noesen in particular. It speaks to Foligno, to BM's sense of how he could be replaced for cheaper (either via UFA or internally). Don't conflate the issues.
First, you'd make a crap GM if you didn't move Methot and his 3 million dollars out for a solid prospect who was drafted in the late 1st round and is looking more and more like a steal. You'd look particularly silly when your owner asked you why Methot was penciled in behind The Wiz and Jack Johnson on the left side D depth chart. Noesen would have gotten you Methot - no issue at all IMO - unless you suck at amateur scouting, which I can buy the BJs do.
Second, all I said is I think Murray likes Noesen's upside - and by that I mean offense more than anything, although I also think Noesen's defensive game is going to be better - better than he likes Foligno's ceiling. Of course it's speculation, what else would it be on a hockey forum? It's an opinion man, as in: in my opine, I think he will be a better player - from watching him, reading about him, etc. And I also get the sense that Murray and co. hold the kid in really high regard and I think that they think his upside is higher than a tweener as you called Foligno. Therefore I think they think his upside is higher. Speculation? No Dung sherlock.
EDIT: It might be Tyutin, not the Wiz.
First, Noesen does not land you Methot -- mostly because CLB needs players for now, not later, but also because OTT has to worry about salary (as in, when salary comes in, it also has to go out), and because Methot is an established commodity (a 3/4 Dman in the NHL) and Noesen is not established and has never played a game in the NHL. There are literally half a dozen reasons why neither franchise trades one guy for the other. Looking at the Turris/Rundblad deal, I'd also say that the NOW/potential factor is HUGE when it comes to determining value -- hence why OTT had to add to the deal.
Second, if you had said "this is my opinion, and that's it", you never would have got this from me, and you would have not looked so ridiculous. Have an opinion, bake a cake to celebrate it, but don't tell me your opinion is BM's. What you're saying now is a lot different from -- and more sensible, and more defensible, than -- the statement in the earlier post that caught my attention.
Finally, comparing Foligino at 23, with 5 years of NHL experience, with Noesen, at 19 with 0 NHL games, really doesn't make much sense. It's apples and oranges. Foligno is an established, known quantity (which is exactly why BM traded him -- he had formed a full opinion on him), whereas Noesen is a ball of potential and nothing else (BM has hopes, but he doesn't know what he is or might be at this early stage). What irked me particularly was your suggestion (or so the wording suggested) that 'BM thinks higher of 19 year old Noesen than he did 19 year old Foligno,' which to me is pure BS. Every 1st rounder (forward) is viewed as a guy who will hopefully play in the top 6 -- it's not like they're looking at 19 year old Stone, or Zbad, or Silf, or Noesen as potential 3rd liners. Same with 19 year old Foligno.