NEELY wrote: hemlock wrote: NEELY wrote: hemlock wrote: NEELY wrote:If the Sens can make the playoffs and avoid the Pens... could be a solid run. They are not far off from going after the Bruins in the division and really making some noise. They are a good team.
One big time winger and the Sens will be ultra tough to play against.
This seems incredibly optimistic to me.
Buffalo will be better (and were in the latter part of last season) so it's dismissive to assume that the division is a two-horse race.
Tough to play against and winning enough to make the playoffs aren't mutually exclusive. Despite the fact that NJ will probably be worse, Carolina and TB will be better almost assuredly than they were last year.
The Sens are in tough to make the playoffs even if they overachieve like they did last year. Let's not kid ourselves here.
Oh yah... Leino is for sure a #1 center. Their defense is "meh". Might be a little grittier but that's about it. Don't see how TB is going to be better... their defense is awful and they have no idea how Lindback is going to perform.
Carolina... marginally better IMO but that's a team that can grow a little. Staal isn't a huge upgrade over Sutter.
Everyone keeps saying "this team will be better, that team will be better" year after year... it's always the same thing. Philly is already worse, NJ is already worse, Tampa did nothing but add big contracts with little value attached to them, Montreal, Toronto, and NYI won't be much better.
The East sucks.
They've got
Leino, Ennis, Gerbe, Ott, and Hodgson. I don't know how but that group is going to have to cover the whopping loss of Derek Roy. He of a big 44 point season last year. Not a huge loss. Ott alone should almost cover that point production as well as be a good faceoff man and agitator. Add in Hodgson for a full year, and they should be fine.
Other than that, just how did Buffalo get worse? They added a solid depth guy in Pardy to an already decent defence. They've got a Vezina calibre goaltender who will keep them in games. Facts are facts: After a slower start to last season, they came on hard in the latter stages of the season, very nearly overtaking the Sens (surely you can remember that). After a season of several changes, they won't have to spend as much time gelling as a team this season and should come out of the gate hard.
It's amazing to me how you can continually sell other teams short while continuing to be oblivious to the Senators shortcomings and question marks. This is a bad defensive hockey club. Period. Full Stop. How much better we may have gotten with Methot will be offset somewhat by regressions in the play of Phillips and particularly Gonchar ("2 solid vets" in your words). Can we really expect another Norris year from Karlsson? I think he'll be spectacular, but he won't lap everyone like he did this past season imo. Will Spezza remain healthy? How about 9MM, or Latendresse? Will Alfie retire? If so, how do we fill the gap of him and Foligno leaving? Oh that's right....our untested prospects.
The saving grace is Anderson between the pipes who should be primed to perform well after some good numbers in his first year in Ottawa. Of course, everyone in Colorado said that after his first year there didn't they? He's no slam dunk. And neither are either of our raw goaltending prospects (Bishop may be NHL ready, but starter ready? Who knows).
Your reasons for saying a team like TB isn't better because Lindback is unproven, and Carolina isn't better because Staal isn't much of an upgrade over Sutter, etc etc all apply to the Senators, but you don't seem to want to acknowledge that. We have just as many (if not more) question marks than ANY of those teams.
There are a zillion question marks for this team. Murray (rightfully so) didn't make a knee reaction and overpay on a FA or two in the false belief that this team is a contender. They aren't. This current course they are on is the best course of action in my opinion. Leave some holes so that there is some quality ice time you can divide up amongst the youth. Give those younger players some insulated, quality minutes to break them in and they'll be better for it in a couple of years when things really start coming together.
Could be the weakest center ice in the NHL not that Gerbe or Ott are centers. Pretty sure Roy was putting up very solid #'s outside of last season for most of his career there. Who's going to take that #1 spot? Lieno (worst signing by a mile last season)? Hodgson? The kid that didn't register a point in his first 13 games in Buffalo and already asked to be moved despite proving nothing? Ott's a solid player but pretty sure when you have almost a PPG guy like Ribeiro playing beside you that can have an effect on your point totals... as well as Jamie Benn. Who's going to get the puck to Ott? Leino? Right.
I continue to sell other teams short? You mean like last year when I said that the Sabres, Leafs, Canes, Habs, Lightning, were not better teams than the Sens. I don't sell teams short, I call it like it is.
Reason I said TB isn't better is because they aren't. Is Lindback a better goaltender than Garon? No clue, might be, might not be. Is their defence better? Nope, just way more expensive and Ohlund was better than anyone they brought in. Their offense? Just another year older and they got rid of a solid player in Downie as well without really replacing him. Stamkos could score 60 again though.
Carolina? They aren't much better. If that same logic applies to the Sens then who came in and replaced Turris? Oh yah, they still have Turris and the expectation and the smart prediction is he has a season that's better than 29 points.
What are the big question marks? Does the team stay healthy? Yah, like every other team in every other sport. I'll give you that one. What else? Does Methot mesh with Karlsson? Guess we'll find out but they both skate well and Methot doesn't make many mistakes. Do the rookies come in and actually produce? Like every other team in the NHL guess we'll find out. Goaltending? Just one of the deepest in the NHL now and Bishop doesn't need to be the starter, he just needs to be a lot better than Auld which he is.
Teams with a #1 center, a #1 D, and a #1 goalie make the playoffs most of the time. Tampa... no #1 D and as of right now no proven #1 goalie. Toronto? They don't have a #1 anywhere. Carolina... they might get in becuase they have the horses on the back end to do it in large part because of the group. NJ, no chance. NYI, don't make me laugh. Florida... yah we'll see how they do with Theodore and Clemensson again behind a D group that got weaker and the fact teams might actually show up to play them this year. Philly? Probably the biggest question mark in the East, they lost Jagr, Pronger, and Carle and replaced them with no one.
The teams that are locks are Pitts, Boston, and NYR, that's it. The Sens are one of the better teams in the East because they are deep everywhere and have guys that can step in and do the job in short spurts.
I still can't believe you think Buffalo got better... they got bigger and tougher for sure but unless Scott learns how to skate at a atom level he won't be in the lineup very often.