I don't think anyone here was suggesting that Ryan isn't the weakest link in the top-six (although, personally, I still think he is a better fit in the top-six that Dzingel, despite his lackluster offensive stats -- big body, great passer, wish he would shoot more). The issue is one of decreasing production. Duchene is no-longer a 60-point player just like Ryan is no-longer a 30+ goal scorer. In Ryan's case you can argue that injuries have taken their toll (his last year in Anaheim he battled a stomach virus in the summer, dropped something like 20 lbs; first season in Ottawa he was doing great then dropped off around the middle/end of November, ended up having a sports hernia surgery in the off-season; last two years it's been broken fingers). Impossible to tell if he is brittle or needs better conditioning or better equipment -- probably a combination of all three. I'd like to think that Ryan isn't finished yet, although I don't think he will ever live up to that contract.
So, even though I am still somewhat optimistic that Ryan can put all those injuries behind him and get back to being a productive forward, I'd have to say that, if he was playing for another team, I would not want him here at that cap hit.
Similarly with Duchene. He is not a big guy and that body has taken a lot of abuse. 551 games is a lot. Do you feel confident that he could get back to scoring 30+ goals? Especially playing in the East which has become tougher. Because, let's face it, he will still want to get paid like a 40-goal scorer.
All that said, I'd definitely prefer Duchene at $6M versus Ryan at $7.25M, but it's not like we are getting this as a choice. It's more like Duchene at $6M, plus Ryan's buyout or retained salary, plus losing Ceci or White and a 1st rounder and someone else.
Duchene, by himself, at $6M -- perhaps worth the cost of Ceci+White+1st (too much IMO, but could be what the market will bear). But then you add in the cost of moving Ryan.
So, even though I am still somewhat optimistic that Ryan can put all those injuries behind him and get back to being a productive forward, I'd have to say that, if he was playing for another team, I would not want him here at that cap hit.
Similarly with Duchene. He is not a big guy and that body has taken a lot of abuse. 551 games is a lot. Do you feel confident that he could get back to scoring 30+ goals? Especially playing in the East which has become tougher. Because, let's face it, he will still want to get paid like a 40-goal scorer.
All that said, I'd definitely prefer Duchene at $6M versus Ryan at $7.25M, but it's not like we are getting this as a choice. It's more like Duchene at $6M, plus Ryan's buyout or retained salary, plus losing Ceci or White and a 1st rounder and someone else.
Duchene, by himself, at $6M -- perhaps worth the cost of Ceci+White+1st (too much IMO, but could be what the market will bear). But then you add in the cost of moving Ryan.
Last edited by wprager on Fri May 05, 2017 11:42 am; edited 1 time in total