wprager wrote:All I'm saying is that we had a number of high-end D prospects and couldn't score goals (EK leading the team is saying something, isn't it) and yet Murray went for another D. Kind of like the Habs picking Price when they had Theodore with some hardware from the year-end awards. I don't think they knew, at the time, that Theodore would drop off as much as he did with the changes to equipment and rules, and when they took away his "hair" medicine.
True enough. But if the Sens weren't comfortable with Tarasenko (and they'd have more knowledge than anyone else) who else would you take over Rundblad? Hishon, Watson, Bjugstad, Bennett, Sheahan, Hayes, Howden, Kuznetsov, Coyle, Etem, or Nelson?
I think drafting is a bit more complicated than BPA but drafting for need can sometimes bite you (like Lee in 2005, maybe, or potentially like McIlrath in 2010). Obviously the Price pick looks pretty good right now.
I'm not sure about the "Rundblad's further in his development so he can be dealt more quickly than Tarasenko could hypothetically be" argument because generally forwards develop faster than defencemen. This being the case, though, it'd make sense to get your D drafted before taking forwards because they'd mature around the same time (ignore the cap implications for now). Or you can just deal Rundblad.
Big Ev wrote:But the thing is, do we need another Karlsson? It's nice to have but I don't know if it's completely necessary. Look around the league, you don't see a lot of teams with 2 elite point producers on the back end. You need a balanced lineup with power up front and on defense. I think we would have been fine with Cowen-Karlsson + everyone else.
Rundblad and Karlsson are not identical players; I don't know why this comparison always picks up. It might be more ideal if we had a top-flight forward instead of Rundblad but I guess all we can say is that they felt Rundblad was the best/safer choice. And if Murray should get the benefit of the doubt anywhere, it's on draft day (IMO). Plus if we really **** the bed with Spezza gone, we'll be able to add a forward like Landeskog or RNH.
I'd revisit your analysis of the top teams again. Last season Chicago had Keith, Seabrook, Campbell and Hjalmarsson (and, recall, added Johnsson, but he got injured) while Philly had Pronger, Timonen, Carle and Coburn. Detroit's success came with Lidstrom, Rafalski, Kronwall and Stuart, while Anaheim won with Niedermayer, Pronger, Beauchemin and O'Donnell. Pittsburgh is a bit of an exception given the strength of the team lies on their incredible centre depth, but even they have/have had a top-flight offensive blue-line.
We have Karlsson, Cowen, Rundblad and Wiercioch, (plus depth behind them, and Lehner) which is an awesome step in that direction IMO. Obviously you can also point to Toews/Kane/Hossa/Sharp etc. on Chicago and Richards/Carter/Giroux/Briere etc. on Philly, and Datsyuk/Zetterberg/Franzen/Holmstrom/occasionally Hossa on Detroit, and Selanne/McDonald/Getzlaf/Perry/Penner/whomever on Anaheim, and that's definitely an area where we're lacking. But I think we can flesh out the forward corps a bit in the coming drafts.