PKC wrote:Here's a list of all the players who get paid in the Jason Spezza range ($6.5-7.5 million):
Scott Niedermayer - 6.75 (5G, 25 A, -17) 55 GP
Zdeno Chara - 7.5 (4G, 25 A, +5) 53 GP
Thomas Vanek - 7.18 (16G, 17 A, +1) 48 GP
Jarome Iginla - 7 (24G, 27 A, +3) 55 GP
Jay Bouwmeester - 6.68 (2G, 18 A, +11) 55 GP
Dion Phaneuf - 6.5 (10G, 12 A, +3) 55 GP
Brian Campbell - 7.14 (6G, 28 A, +16) 55 GP
Paul Stastny - 6.6 (11G, 37 A, +11) 53 GP
Brad Richards - 7.8 (15G, 44 A, -11) 52 GP
Pavel Datsyuk - 6.7 (14G, 29 A, +13) 52 GP
Nicklas Lidstrom - 7.45 (6G, 26 A, +20) 54 GP
Anze Kopitar - 6.8 (23G, 32 A, +7) 54 GP
Scott Gomez - 7.4 (7G, 28 A, -1) 52 GP
Marian Gaborik - 7.5 (30G, 32 A, +7) 53 GP
Chris Drury - 7.05 (8G, 11 A, -11) 50 GP
Wade Redden - 6.5 (1G, 7 A, even) 48 GP
Henrik Lundqvist - 6.875 (22-19-6, 2.40 GAA, .920 sv%) 48 GP
Jason Spezza - 7 (9G, 14 A, -1) 34 GP
Daniel Briere - 6.5 (18G, 16 A, -1) 46 GP
Ed Jovanovski - 6.5 (9G, 18 A, -3) 41 GP
Dany Heatley - 7.5 (30G, 29 A, +15) 55 GP
Joe Thornton - 7.2 (13G, 55 A, +16) 55 GP
Dan Boyle - 6.67 (10G, 33 A, +6) 51 GP
Roberto Luongo - 6.75 (29-14-2, .920 sv%, 2.31 GAA) 47 GP
Pull out the forwards from that group, and eliminate all Sather-orchestrated contracts because we all know that there's only one senile GM in the league who would offer them, and your list looks like this:
Vanek
Iginla
Stastny
B. Richards
Datsyuk
Kopitar
Briere
Heatley
Thornton
Any GM would trade Spezza for one of Iginla, Datsyuk, Thornton, and Heatley. No questions asked. Stastny and Kopitar are younger than Spezza and have similar upside; Stastny is probably already the better player, all around, and Kopitar isn't far behind.
B. Richards was signed by a $-happy team in the euphoria following a Cup and the Conn Smyth. We can all agree he's overpaid. Even still, he's producing like a top line centre (59 points in 52 GP), and he contributes in all roles (PP, PK, etc.) -- his +/- (-11) has more to do with his team, and its shoddy goaltending, than anything else.
That leaves Vanek and Briere -- two guys who had career years (43G, 84P; 32 G, 95P). Neither have been very healthy since, but for the most part, they have put up very similar numbers as Spezza -- that is, about a .7 or .8 point per game pace.
So what do we conclude from all this? That, given his production and overall team contributions, Spezza's contract is about on part with Vanek's and Briere's -- one more dubious distinction to add to the list of a player just about everyone here agrees isn't "elite," doesn't play in all situations, isn't a key "cog" in the team, and isn't going to be Alfie's replacement.
What else do I have to do to convince you that Spezza's continued presence on this team poses a long-term threat to our team's cap situation? We can get what Spezza provides us on far less crippling terms -- few dollars, fewer years, and certainly no NMCs that could come back to cripple us, Heatley-style.