Game Day: Canucks-Senators Preview

Cronie wrote:Is that sarcasm Robby? Just checking dude.

No sarcasm, we are a limited team that needs a couple of pieces to really compete.

Cap'n Clutch wrote:I'm still not worried about this. I expected a Loss in my estimate of an 18-4-4 record to finish the season. I'm also factoring 1 loss to SJ and 1 loss to Boston. That leaves only 1 more regulation loss in there which could be difficult with Aflie gone for a long period of time.

Cap, is that an estimate, or your deepest wish?

Not even San Jose and Detroit aspire to such a lofty record.

You might want to look at this site for a picture of the Sens' chances:
http://www.playoffstatus.com/nhl/easternstandings.html

By the way, you seem to assume the Devils are an easy prey for the Senators... April 9th.

davetherave wrote:

Cap'n Clutch wrote:I'm still not worried about this. I expected a Loss in my estimate of an 18-4-4 record to finish the season. I'm also factoring 1 loss to SJ and 1 loss to Boston. That leaves only 1 more regulation loss in there which could be difficult with Aflie gone for a long period of time.

Cap, is that an estimate, or your deepest wish?

Not even San Jose and Detroit aspire to such a lofty record.

You might want to look at this site for a picture of the Sens' chances:
http://www.playoffstatus.com/nhl/easternstandings.html

By the way, you seem to assume the Devils are an easy prey for the Senators... April 9th.

No actually I have them as an OTL/SOL so not easy by any means.

I looked at all the games and looked at ones that we could win and will likely lose. A win doesn't mean easy prey. Some of these will be hard fought OT or SO wins some will be regulation. I suspect the Carolina and Montreal games will be wins.

Cap, the reality is that the Senators have won five and lost four under Clouston...5-2-2 to be exact. They are without Alfredsson for a week to ten days at least.

The math you're suggesting is, in an ideal world, possible. But with all due respect, the projection doesn't seem realistic.

You assume the Sens will beat the following teams, making no allowance for the record. These include the Panthers (to whom they lost both matches); Calgary (who beat the Sens 6-3);and Philadelphia, who having won one and lost two to Ottawa will be pushing to the max as the playoffs approach; Toronto, who have already beaten the Sens twice; the Islanders, who have beaten Ottawa in both meetings; and Tampa Bay, who have split the games with the Sens.

Your optimism is commendable.

Again your forgetting about the OTL/SOLs in the equation. Devils take one there are 3 more and 1 more regulation loss. Place them as you wish. I'm not saying it's likely and I've continued saying the playoffs is a pipe dream and it will stay that way for a while. If they lose 4 more games in regulation they're more than likely just waiting for the math to catch up and they're done.

I also admire your optimism Cap, but the simple fact is without Alfie, we're done. They will not beat Montreal. Everyone likes to talk about how MTL has been sliding and how they are ripe for the pickin', but their entire game has been MUCH improved over their last two. They, arguably, deserved to win the game against Washington and were about even in the PIT game - a game on back-to-back nights where they were missing one of their most prolific players. And now they're getting Kovalev back.

I could accept that the Sens couldn't eek out a win against the Avs after that deadly road swing, but watching them lose in that way to Vancouver was truly disheartening. They made an effort to come back, but the chemistry just isn't there...

It was nice to have hope for a miracle for a few more days, but I've resigned myself to the hopelessness of the situation.

...Whatever happens from here, Kuba better be GONE by the deadline.

Cap'n Clutch wrote:Again your forgetting about the OTL/SOLs in the equation. Devils take one there are 3 more and 1 more regulation loss. Place them as you wish. I'm not saying it's likely and I've continued saying the playoffs is a pipe dream and it will stay that way for a while. If they lose 4 more games in regulation they're more than likely just waiting for the math to catch up and they're done.

Cap, we all know what SOL means.

Making up 13 points to get a playoff spot means SOLs=SOL. Agreed?

This coming week is make or break. If they play like they did against the Avs and Nucks...

cash wrote:I also admire your optimism Cap, but the simple fact is without Alfie, we're done. They will not beat Montreal. Everyone likes to talk about how MTL has been sliding and how they are ripe for the pickin', but their entire game has been MUCH improved over their last two. They, arguably, deserved to win the game against Washington and were about even in the PIT game - a game on back-to-back nights where they were missing one of their most prolific players. And now they're getting Kovalev back.

I could accept that the Sens couldn't eek out a win against the Avs after that deadly road swing, but watching them lose in that way to Vancouver was truly disheartening. They made an effort to come back, but the chemistry just isn't there...

It was nice to have hope for a miracle for a few more days, but I've resigned myself to the hopelessness of the situation.

...Whatever happens from here, Kuba better be GONE by the deadline.

If he doesn't waive his NTC we should egg his car daily until he changes his mind.

I'll break his legs if he doesn't waive...