Big Ev wrote:The NHL won't lose any Canadian fans even if they had a 3 year lockout
That's the problem right there though. Yes, 99% of Canadian hockey fans would be mad, but they'd return. The issue lies in the other 24 teams. Take out perhaps some of the bigger markets in the States - all 4 or 5 of them - then see what it does in terms of attendance to the markets in the US where people have choices. NFL? NBA? Nascar? MLB? Or do you want to wait and see if the smallest of the leagues - the one where basically it's been a battle to sustain relevance since the last lockout (and before) - can survive? I'll tell you what I think: a lot of them won't be able to survive a long lockout. Even if it's 6 months I think there's be substantial losses from the owners and revenue will be WAY down.
Canadian markets are and always will be fine, US markets - which basically fuel the league - are NOT fine.