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Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS!

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Oglethorpe
SensHulk
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NEELY
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Hoags
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376Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! - Page 26 Empty Re: Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! Wed Feb 27, 2013 2:27 pm

Hoags


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NEELY wrote:I wonder if Murray would do a MPS for Bishop trade...? I still like the kid and think he would be the absolute perfect shut down winger at some point in his career.

That's been my thinking as well, assuming Tambellini actually wakes up.

Bishop will probably get dealt at the draft. Columbus or Oilers, whoever makes a better offer. I think Jarmo will make a strong push.

377Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! - Page 26 Empty Re: Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! Wed Feb 27, 2013 2:32 pm

NEELY


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Hoags wrote:
NEELY wrote:I wonder if Murray would do a MPS for Bishop trade...? I still like the kid and think he would be the absolute perfect shut down winger at some point in his career.

That's been my thinking as well, assuming Tambellini actually wakes up.

Bishop will probably get dealt at the draft. Columbus or Oilers, whoever makes a better offer. I think Jarmo will make a strong push.

MPS is very much the Regin type player than MacLean loves. He can skate, decent shot, knows how to play the game, doesn't back down, and works hard. I don't think he ever becomes much more than a 20 goal scorer at his peak but that's not what you bring him in for. He obviously doesn't have the value of top 10 pick anymore or even a to 20 but I would say the value for him is about the same as Bishop... don't think anyone would have to add.

378Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! - Page 26 Empty Re: Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! Wed Feb 27, 2013 2:41 pm

Hoags


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NEELY wrote:

MPS is very much the Regin type player than MacLean loves. He can skate, decent shot, knows how to play the game, doesn't back down, and works hard. I don't think he ever becomes much more than a 20 goal scorer at his peak but that's not what you bring him in for. He obviously doesn't have the value of top 10 pick anymore or even a to 20 but I would say the value for him is about the same as Bishop... don't think anyone would have to add.

I totally agree, MacLean could do wonderful things with MPS here, he is so misused in Edmonton.

I don't think Bishop gets traded by the deadline unless a playoff team loses their #1 goalie long term. In this case Murray can pretty much name his price.

As for Edmonton, Khabibulin is gone after this year so they'll make a move in the offseason I think. It would still depend on Tambellini/Lowe swallowing their pride on Dubnyk but there is so much wrong with that team beyond goaltending.

Both Mason and Bobrovsky are RFA after this year in Columbus as well. Jarmo will move one (if not both) out of there.

379Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! - Page 26 Empty Re: Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! Wed Feb 27, 2013 2:51 pm

NEELY


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Hoags wrote:
NEELY wrote:

MPS is very much the Regin type player than MacLean loves. He can skate, decent shot, knows how to play the game, doesn't back down, and works hard. I don't think he ever becomes much more than a 20 goal scorer at his peak but that's not what you bring him in for. He obviously doesn't have the value of top 10 pick anymore or even a to 20 but I would say the value for him is about the same as Bishop... don't think anyone would have to add.

I totally agree, MacLean could do wonderful things with MPS here, he is so misused in Edmonton.

I don't think Bishop gets traded by the deadline unless a playoff team loses their #1 goalie long term. In this case Murray can pretty much name his price.

As for Edmonton, Khabibulin is gone after this year so they'll make a move in the offseason I think. It would still depend on Tambellini/Lowe swallowing their pride on Dubnyk but there is so much wrong with that team beyond goaltending.

Both Mason and Bobrovsky are RFA after this year in Columbus as well. Jarmo will move one (if not both) out of there.

Oh you don't trade Bishop in season now, no chance. Having goaltending like this is a God send. That said, next year Lehner has earned the right to backup Anderson and that will be his job... Bishop is getting moved.

If Columbus gives up LA's first for Bishop, is that better than MPS? I am not sure but it would be very hard to get a player as good as MPS with a 20th overall selection or worse. On the flip side the Sens passed over MPS in the draft and it seems for good reason so... they may have more confidence in themselves as an organization drafting 20th or worse and developing that player.

Tough to say, just because I like MPS doesn't mean anyone in the Sens organization does. He is being horribly misused in Edmonton though.

380Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! - Page 26 Empty Re: Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! Wed Feb 27, 2013 2:56 pm

Hoags

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NEELY wrote:If Columbus gives up LA's first for Bishop, is that better than MPS? I am not sure but it would be very hard to get a player as good as MPS with a 20th overall selection or worse. On the flip side the Sens passed over MPS in the draft and it seems for good reason so... they may have more confidence in themselves as an organization drafting 20th or worse and developing that player.

Tough to say, just because I like MPS doesn't mean anyone in the Sens organization does. He is being horribly misused in Edmonton though.

They might trade Bishop if someone makes a desperate offer, otherwise he is staying for this year.

As for MPS, they probably just thought Cowen was better of the two, doesn't mean they MPS wasn't high on their list. Cowen wasn't supposed to fall to us, but some teams above us goofed (how is Scott Glennie doing ? lol).

Goalies generally don't get much value so if you get MPS for Bishop that's excellent value considering what Halak and Lindback went for. Bishop's value is probably closer to Lindback as Halak was coming off a legendary post season performance.

381Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! - Page 26 Empty Re: Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! Wed Feb 27, 2013 2:58 pm

NEELY


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We'll see I guess. Just gotta hope Bishop keeps it up and with MPS getting sent back to OKC you have to wonder if the Oilers are getting a little frustrated with his development.

382Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! - Page 26 Empty Re: Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! Wed Feb 27, 2013 3:04 pm

Hoags

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Interesting article on Yost how MacLean keeps winning and how he is using our current roster:

http://www.hockeybuzz.com/blog/Travis-Yost/Usage-Charts-How-Paul-MacLeans-Getting-it-Done/134/49601

There's a lot going on here, but I think the pair of bubbles that should jump out first are those of Erik Condra and Peter Regin, who not surprisingly, have the two best shot differentials among all forwards on the current roster. Condra's kind of taken on a bigger (and tougher) role after the injuries, and has done pretty well in these minutes. He's an RFA at the end of the year, but I think it's just about a guarantee he'll be back with the team next year. Letting him go would be certifiably insane.

Regin's frustrated the organization a bit with his propensity for injury, and his lack of point production (0G/2A in 13 GP) is somewhat concerning. The good news is that his underlying numbers are OK. Much like Condra, this is a guy that probably belongs in a bottom-six role, pulverizing opposing competition.

Up at the top right is prospect Mika Zibanejad. MacLean's obviously used him in an offensive-minded role; so far, he's done well. The points [3G/3A] and possession metrics are very respectable for a player of his age, but unlike fellow highly-touted youngster Jakob Silfverberg, he's drawing the toughest minutes of any forward through the first twenty games. Silfverberg [3G/3A] is seeing a comparable number of offensive zone starts, but isn't driving possession in the same manner, and he's matching against significantly weaker competition. To-date, there's really not much of a question as to which of the two has played better. It's Zibanejad.

Zack Smith's been a popular topic of discussion lately, mostly because he hasn't scored a goal in what seems like ages. The coaching staff may want more scoring from Smith heading forward, but they're not keeping it much of a secret what his primary role is, and that's goal prevention. Smith's drawing ungodly tough minutes -- high quality of competition, and an obscene number of starts in the defensive-zone.

With Karlsson gone, just about every defender has taken a hit. The only bubble that really impresses me is Marc Methot: the newly-acquired defender has moved from a Norris Trophy winner to a replacement player in Eric Gryba on the team's top-pairing, and his play hasn't really depreciated to a point of concern.

Sergei Gonchar for any kind of asset at the deadline would've been a win, because he's simply not the player he was a few years ago. Forget his bizarre obsession with dumping the puck in from the neutral zone -- he's getting creamed by fairly tough competition, and because Ottawa's first-pairing has been beaten to hell through injuries to both Erik Karlsson and Jared Cowen, he's been moved to a primary-defensive role against the best of the best.

Chris Phillips might be starting a ton of shifts in the defensive zone, but Paul MacLean couldn't soften his opposition any more than he's already doing, and he's still coming out on the wrong end of most shifts. Right next to him is newfound pairmate Andre Benoit. The only difference between the two is that Benoit starts about 50% of his shifts offensively. Possession wise, it's not great. Perhaps that's because this pairing feels it necessary to prioritize throwing pucks to center ice as a way of clearing the zone. Those pucks, naturally, come right back in.

One player that's been mildly surprising, though, is Patrick Wiercioch. Sure, he's seeing softer competition and a lot of offensive zone time, but he's doing well in those minutes, and for a rookie defenseman that's still a work-in-progress, that's just about all you can ask for. Wiercioch is becoming a moderate threat moving the puck and generating attack

Some interesting observations based on advanced stats.

383Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! - Page 26 Empty Re: Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! Wed Feb 27, 2013 3:08 pm

SensHulk

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Hoags wrote:
tim1_2 wrote:We could absolutely beat Montreal in a 7 game series. Discussion over.

not a chance, they thoroughly dominated us last time. We had barely any scoring chances and DD's goal was a fluke that Price messed up on.

They had the puck most of the time and it was in our zone most of the time. If we somehow got the puck out they brought it right back in. For a puck possession team we don't possess the puck a whole lot without EK and Spezza.

If it wasn't for Bishop, 2 posts and a crossbar we'd have been blown out.

tim1_2 wrote:Why the negativity...jesus, look at the past few games.

It's not negativity, just realism. Do only homer opinions matter now ? Do shootout wins somehow indicate our chances of playoff succes ?

I am not saying they can't do it, just that there is huge void with EK out that they haven't addressed.

You're getting roasted for what you said, and I"m not sure why.....everything you just said is bang on (in this post). We stole that game from montreal and ottawa had no business getting any points in it, let alone 2. Don't think I've seen them dominated like that the entire season (it felt like montreal was an all-star team with the slick passes they were making and their speed was too much for the sens).

That said....it was one game, and yeah we got absolutely lucky but the habs got lucky on february 3rd when the refs disallowed a goal. We're arguably worse now than we were then but it might not take much to get back to that level (michalek, regin will help). I just wouldn't declare that the sens can't beat the habs in the playoffs....if anything its a total toss-up in my opinion.



Last edited by Michallica on Wed Feb 27, 2013 3:08 pm; edited 1 time in total

384Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! - Page 26 Empty Re: Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! Wed Feb 27, 2013 3:08 pm

PTFlea

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I can tell you without fancy metric numbers:

Gonchar has sucked

Methot is amazing

Gryba has been excellent

Phillips has been VERY average

Benoit has been solid

Wiercioch has been just below Benoit

The end.

385Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! - Page 26 Empty Re: Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! Wed Feb 27, 2013 3:09 pm

PTFlea

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Good teams find a way to win, is the saying.

386Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! - Page 26 Empty Re: Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! Wed Feb 27, 2013 3:10 pm

NEELY


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Annnnd this is why you watch hockey and not actually develop an opinion off of paper. Based on this a blind person who has never seen the game played just need to look at this and put a team together.

A long article of absolute BS.

387Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! - Page 26 Empty Re: Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! Wed Feb 27, 2013 3:11 pm

SensHulk

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SpezDispenser wrote:Good teams find a way to win, is the saying.

And what hoags is saying is shootout isn't exactly a statement of 'victory'....I'm happy when they can win in shootouts but we're losing out on ROW and is no indication that it can lead to success in the playoffs.

388Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! - Page 26 Empty Re: Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! Wed Feb 27, 2013 3:13 pm

NEELY


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Michallica wrote:
SpezDispenser wrote:Good teams find a way to win, is the saying.

And what hoags is saying is shootout isn't exactly a statement of 'victory'....I'm happy when they can win in shootouts but we're losing out on ROW and is no indication that it can lead to success in the playoffs.

Nope but they will have Michalek, Spezza, and maybe even Karlsson back if they do make it into the playoffs. As is, yah, the Sens would have a tough time beating anyone in a 7 game series but it doesn't mean they can't and it certainly doesn't mean that when they do get some bodies back they can't ride that momentum.

389Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! - Page 26 Empty Re: Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! Wed Feb 27, 2013 3:15 pm

Hoags

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SpezDispenser wrote:Good teams find a way to win, is the saying.

And a good chunk of that is luck and unsustainable GAA. I'm not saying we are done but you have to consider how and why we are winning(and against whom).

Obviously things will change, Michalek will return, Stone will draw in at some point etc. who knows what else ?

I am not saying we're a lottery team (now that's negative).

NEELY wrote:
Nope but they will have Michalek, Spezza, and maybe even Karlsson back if they do make it into the playoffs. As is, yah, the Sens would have a tough time beating anyone in a 7 game series but it doesn't mean they can't and it certainly doesn't mean that when they do get some bodies back they can't ride that momentum.

There is no way they rush EK back in, he won't be ready til August. Getting some bodies will obviously improve things.

NEELY wrote:
A long article of absolute BS.

What exactly is BS in there ? It's just an article on how our roster is being used and when. There's little opinion in there.



Last edited by Hoags on Wed Feb 27, 2013 3:19 pm; edited 2 times in total

390Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! - Page 26 Empty Re: Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! Wed Feb 27, 2013 3:17 pm

SensHulk

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NEELY wrote:
Michallica wrote:
SpezDispenser wrote:Good teams find a way to win, is the saying.

And what hoags is saying is shootout isn't exactly a statement of 'victory'....I'm happy when they can win in shootouts but we're losing out on ROW and is no indication that it can lead to success in the playoffs.

Nope but they will have Michalek, Spezza, and maybe even Karlsson back if they do make it into the playoffs. As is, yah, the Sens would have a tough time beating anyone in a 7 game series but it doesn't mean they can't and it certainly doesn't mean that when they do get some bodies back they can't ride that momentum.

Yeah exactly. Just having michalek and spezza back will be a huge boost. I'm liking that they're learning to win without their stars. They couldn't win without alfie once upon a time, then they couldn't win without spezza. Now they've overcome both, and also learning to win without Karlsson. And of course, great goaltending always helps

391Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! - Page 26 Empty Re: Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! Wed Feb 27, 2013 3:17 pm

shabbs

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SpezDispenser wrote:I can tell you without fancy metric numbers:

Gonchar has sucked

Methot is amazing

Gryba has been excellent

Phillips has been VERY average

Benoit has been solid

Wiercioch has been just below Benoit

The end.
Yost loves his stats. LOVES them.

392Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! - Page 26 Empty Re: Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! Wed Feb 27, 2013 3:20 pm

Hoags

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SpezDispenser wrote:I can tell you without fancy metric numbers:

Gonchar has sucked

Methot is amazing

Gryba has been excellent

Phillips has been VERY average

Benoit has been solid

Wiercioch has been just below Benoit

The end.

That's pretty much what Yost wrote, backed up with numbers Smile

393Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! - Page 26 Empty Re: Ottawa Senators TIDBITS & QUICK HITS! Wed Feb 27, 2013 3:21 pm

SensHulk

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Hoags wrote:
NEELY wrote:
A long article of absolute BS.

What exactly is BS in there ? It's just an article on how our roster is being used and when. There's little opinion in there.

He makes a couple of good points, like about zach smith and his struggles. However, proclaiming that zibanejad has been better than silfverberg is just wrong.

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