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Just halfway through the summer and already the prognosticators are percolating with their predictions for next year.
Let's kick it off with ESPN's Terry Frei and his call on the Eastern Conference, as he sees it right now.
PS Terry gives you his e-mail address so you can give him a piece of your mind...
EAST PREDICTIONS FOR 2009-10 SEASON
Terry Frei, ESPN.com, July 13, 2009
Compared to the wild goings-on in the Western Conference, with its dizzying succession of front-office upheavals and coaching changes, it has been fairly quiet in the East. That's pending the final disposition of Dany Heatley's pouting request to be traded, among other things.
As with the West last week, this look at the events in the East is listed in a highly conditional predicted finish in the conference next season, albeit with the slotting of the defending division champions in the top three spots.
1. Pittsburgh Penguins
The only significant loss was Rob Scuderi, who signed with the Kings. Otherwise, with the young core (Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, Jordan Staal and Marc-Andre Fleury) locked up for years to come, the only way they can slide is if it becomes clear that the Penguins are just too top-heavy in the cap age. But Bill Guerin is no fool, and he was willing to take a big-time cut just to have a chance to stick around and have another shot at raising the Cup. The amazing thing is how demoralized and struggling the Penguins were at midseason. That isn't happening again.
2. Washington Capitals
The somewhat under-the-radar and late signing of Brendan Morrison adds a steady and calming veteran voice up front, not to mention a reliable two-way center. The league would greatly benefit if it gets another Alex Ovechkin versus Malkin/Crosby matchup in the conference finals, and if this rivalry stays heated in the regular season. And, oh, yes, it wouldn't be an insult to the game's traditions and cultures to play up the young stars, and the fact that they're not going to be meeting for sandwiches and beers at Primanti Brothers the night before the games in Pittsburgh. Regardless, though, we know that Ovechkin, going for the Hart Trophy hat trick, will do his part, and that the signing of Mike Knuble to play right wing on his line could make him even more dangerous. The Caps' unsettled goaltending situation -- if they could only hypnotize Jose Theodore into thinking he's in a contract year -- is the major question mark.
3. Boston Bruins
GM Peter Chiarelli's extension certainly was deserved, despite the second-round loss to the Hurricanes that took much of the glitter off that terrific regular season and No. 1 seed. Pretty much standing pat, which means bringing back Mark Recchi on a one-year deal, made more sense than overreaction -- a temptation the No. 1 seed from the other conference, San Jose, seemed more in danger of succumbing to, but didn't, either. Zdeno Chara's Norris Trophy was the right call, and even a bit of an upset, in that voters weren't overwhelmed by Mike Green's offensive numbers at Washington. The point is, the big Slovak is at the top of his game, too, and he isn't going to lose it. Yes, I've projected the Bruins to drop a bit in the regular season, but if Tim Thomas remains the poster boy for reclamation projects, the Bruins are bona fide Cup threats.
4. Philadelphia Flyers
Chris Pronger had yet to take an ill-advised penalty for the Flyers when they signed him to a seven-year extension. His lack of discipline and unpredictability certainly is part of his game and thus his effectiveness, whether against the Penguins or Capitals or anyone else, and it's not as if the Ducks' approach was anything close to passive the past few years. John Stevens' challenge is to keep Pronger -- who knows the main reason he has been brought in is to harass the conference's young superstars (well, except for Jeff Carter and Mike Richards), and probably already is taking Russian lessons to pick up a few terms for Army boots and worse -- from getting too caught up in the Broad Street atmosphere and doing at least as much harm as good. But if Ray Emery indeed is a changed man, there will be a lot of general managers deservedly getting heat for not taking a shot at him -- and we're talking about a wrister from the slot.
5. Carolina Hurricanes
After managing to re-sign Jussi Jokinen and Erik Cole, who were so instrumental in the playoff run, and Chad LaRose, the Hurricanes and Eric Staal are in good position to build on the momentum they had after Paul Maurice stepped back behind the bench and their miracle finish against the Devils re-energized the Golden Triangle. Or, at least it did before the flop against the Penguins.
6. New Jersey Devils
After Brent Sutter decided he wanted to go home, the Devils are still without a coach as Lou Lamoriello takes his sweet time in lining up a successor. Brian Gionta signed with Montreal and John Madden, 36, bid farewell and ended up signing with the Blackhawks. While those losses and the demoralizing collapse against the Hurricanes might seem to provide some rationalization for writing off the Devils, I'm not going to fall into that trap again. Zach Parise's ascendance and Martin Brodeur's return to health -- not that Scott Clemmensen was a stiff last season -- plus Lamoriello's track record for picking up pieces are reasons enough to keep the faith, and keep the Devils ahead of the Rangers.
7. New York Rangers
Now having said that (with apologies for stealing Gary Bettman's pet phrase), one of the most intriguing stories in the league will be tracking Marian Gaborik's work with the Rangers in the midst of Glen Sather's major reconstruction. There is no questioning Gaborik's talent and the fact that the Wild never took complete advantage of it under Jacques Lemaire, but given the Rangers' spotty free-agent track record and Gaborik's medical file, this could turn out to be anything from a brilliant move to a complete disaster with five years of cap effects. If he's finally over those linked hip and groin issues for good, look out. If not, they'll be pining for Scott Gomez. (Just kidding. Kind of.)
8. Toronto Maple Leafs
Brian Burke isn't very good at camouflage, and he's taking the same approach he did at Anaheim: He's trying to assemble a complement of toughness and skill, as often as possible in one package. (Sometimes you wonder if he rolls up his sleeves and puts on the foil before making phone calls.) But he's making progress in trying to make something of this mess, even winning the recruiting war for Jonas Gustavsson, who if things turn out well will only be needed to be a Monster backup to Vesa Toskala in his first season in North America. The additions of Mike Komisarek and former Duck Francois Beauchemin will help considerably on the blue line, and the feeling here is that the Leafs will be back in the playoffs.
Part two comes next...
Let's kick it off with ESPN's Terry Frei and his call on the Eastern Conference, as he sees it right now.
PS Terry gives you his e-mail address so you can give him a piece of your mind...
EAST PREDICTIONS FOR 2009-10 SEASON
Terry Frei, ESPN.com, July 13, 2009
Compared to the wild goings-on in the Western Conference, with its dizzying succession of front-office upheavals and coaching changes, it has been fairly quiet in the East. That's pending the final disposition of Dany Heatley's pouting request to be traded, among other things.
As with the West last week, this look at the events in the East is listed in a highly conditional predicted finish in the conference next season, albeit with the slotting of the defending division champions in the top three spots.
1. Pittsburgh Penguins
The only significant loss was Rob Scuderi, who signed with the Kings. Otherwise, with the young core (Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, Jordan Staal and Marc-Andre Fleury) locked up for years to come, the only way they can slide is if it becomes clear that the Penguins are just too top-heavy in the cap age. But Bill Guerin is no fool, and he was willing to take a big-time cut just to have a chance to stick around and have another shot at raising the Cup. The amazing thing is how demoralized and struggling the Penguins were at midseason. That isn't happening again.
2. Washington Capitals
The somewhat under-the-radar and late signing of Brendan Morrison adds a steady and calming veteran voice up front, not to mention a reliable two-way center. The league would greatly benefit if it gets another Alex Ovechkin versus Malkin/Crosby matchup in the conference finals, and if this rivalry stays heated in the regular season. And, oh, yes, it wouldn't be an insult to the game's traditions and cultures to play up the young stars, and the fact that they're not going to be meeting for sandwiches and beers at Primanti Brothers the night before the games in Pittsburgh. Regardless, though, we know that Ovechkin, going for the Hart Trophy hat trick, will do his part, and that the signing of Mike Knuble to play right wing on his line could make him even more dangerous. The Caps' unsettled goaltending situation -- if they could only hypnotize Jose Theodore into thinking he's in a contract year -- is the major question mark.
3. Boston Bruins
GM Peter Chiarelli's extension certainly was deserved, despite the second-round loss to the Hurricanes that took much of the glitter off that terrific regular season and No. 1 seed. Pretty much standing pat, which means bringing back Mark Recchi on a one-year deal, made more sense than overreaction -- a temptation the No. 1 seed from the other conference, San Jose, seemed more in danger of succumbing to, but didn't, either. Zdeno Chara's Norris Trophy was the right call, and even a bit of an upset, in that voters weren't overwhelmed by Mike Green's offensive numbers at Washington. The point is, the big Slovak is at the top of his game, too, and he isn't going to lose it. Yes, I've projected the Bruins to drop a bit in the regular season, but if Tim Thomas remains the poster boy for reclamation projects, the Bruins are bona fide Cup threats.
4. Philadelphia Flyers
Chris Pronger had yet to take an ill-advised penalty for the Flyers when they signed him to a seven-year extension. His lack of discipline and unpredictability certainly is part of his game and thus his effectiveness, whether against the Penguins or Capitals or anyone else, and it's not as if the Ducks' approach was anything close to passive the past few years. John Stevens' challenge is to keep Pronger -- who knows the main reason he has been brought in is to harass the conference's young superstars (well, except for Jeff Carter and Mike Richards), and probably already is taking Russian lessons to pick up a few terms for Army boots and worse -- from getting too caught up in the Broad Street atmosphere and doing at least as much harm as good. But if Ray Emery indeed is a changed man, there will be a lot of general managers deservedly getting heat for not taking a shot at him -- and we're talking about a wrister from the slot.
5. Carolina Hurricanes
After managing to re-sign Jussi Jokinen and Erik Cole, who were so instrumental in the playoff run, and Chad LaRose, the Hurricanes and Eric Staal are in good position to build on the momentum they had after Paul Maurice stepped back behind the bench and their miracle finish against the Devils re-energized the Golden Triangle. Or, at least it did before the flop against the Penguins.
6. New Jersey Devils
After Brent Sutter decided he wanted to go home, the Devils are still without a coach as Lou Lamoriello takes his sweet time in lining up a successor. Brian Gionta signed with Montreal and John Madden, 36, bid farewell and ended up signing with the Blackhawks. While those losses and the demoralizing collapse against the Hurricanes might seem to provide some rationalization for writing off the Devils, I'm not going to fall into that trap again. Zach Parise's ascendance and Martin Brodeur's return to health -- not that Scott Clemmensen was a stiff last season -- plus Lamoriello's track record for picking up pieces are reasons enough to keep the faith, and keep the Devils ahead of the Rangers.
7. New York Rangers
Now having said that (with apologies for stealing Gary Bettman's pet phrase), one of the most intriguing stories in the league will be tracking Marian Gaborik's work with the Rangers in the midst of Glen Sather's major reconstruction. There is no questioning Gaborik's talent and the fact that the Wild never took complete advantage of it under Jacques Lemaire, but given the Rangers' spotty free-agent track record and Gaborik's medical file, this could turn out to be anything from a brilliant move to a complete disaster with five years of cap effects. If he's finally over those linked hip and groin issues for good, look out. If not, they'll be pining for Scott Gomez. (Just kidding. Kind of.)
8. Toronto Maple Leafs
Brian Burke isn't very good at camouflage, and he's taking the same approach he did at Anaheim: He's trying to assemble a complement of toughness and skill, as often as possible in one package. (Sometimes you wonder if he rolls up his sleeves and puts on the foil before making phone calls.) But he's making progress in trying to make something of this mess, even winning the recruiting war for Jonas Gustavsson, who if things turn out well will only be needed to be a Monster backup to Vesa Toskala in his first season in North America. The additions of Mike Komisarek and former Duck Francois Beauchemin will help considerably on the blue line, and the feeling here is that the Leafs will be back in the playoffs.
Part two comes next...
Last edited by davetherave on Mon Jul 13, 2009 2:24 pm; edited 1 time in total
