Also, do you not think that the players and coaches would like to use the pre-playoff games to get motivated? Is going into a series on a losing streak good for a team psychologically?
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Riprock wrote:Then the same logic can be used to say that games featuring teams with no chance at winning are all meaningless games for that team, and they are better off strategically losing to secure a better position for their team (in one case it is dropping to 8th to avoid playing 2nd place team; in the other it is dropping into the lottery rather finishing out of playoffs and out of lottery).
Riprock wrote:Also, do you not think that the players and coaches would like to use the pre-playoff games to get motivated? Is going into a series on a losing streak good for a team psychologically?
rooneypoo wrote:Riprock wrote:Then the same logic can be used to say that games featuring teams with no chance at winning are all meaningless games for that team, and they are better off strategically losing to secure a better position for their team (in one case it is dropping to 8th to avoid playing 2nd place team; in the other it is dropping into the lottery rather finishing out of playoffs and out of lottery).
No, LOL, I don't see how that follows, at all.
You never set out to lose. Sometimes, tho', you do show up not prepared to do what it takes to win -- that's not a plan, that's a psychological state ("we clinched they playoffs! Yay!"), that's human nature. Let down games happen all the time, and they're very predictable -- i.e., the first home game after a road trip, the games after you clinch a playoff spot, the game after you are eliminated from the playoffs, etc., etc., etc.
Big, big difference there between setting out to lose and not coming fully prepared, mentally, to do what it takes to win.
Riprock wrote:rooneypoo wrote:Riprock wrote:Then the same logic can be used to say that games featuring teams with no chance at winning are all meaningless games for that team, and they are better off strategically losing to secure a better position for their team (in one case it is dropping to 8th to avoid playing 2nd place team; in the other it is dropping into the lottery rather finishing out of playoffs and out of lottery).
No, LOL, I don't see how that follows, at all.
You never set out to lose. Sometimes, tho', you do show up not prepared to do what it takes to win -- that's not a plan, that's a psychological state ("we clinched they playoffs! Yay!"), that's human nature. Let down games happen all the time, and they're very predictable -- i.e., the first home game after a road trip, the games after you clinch a playoff spot, the game after you are eliminated from the playoffs, etc., etc., etc.
Big, big difference there between setting out to lose and not coming fully prepared, mentally, to do what it takes to win.
I didn't say set out to lose, it's the same thing as going into a game with the attitude that the result is meaningless. First of all, the Sens final games were not meaningless - they had something to gain, which was a higher seeding. If they wanted to finish 8th, then they purposely went in not prepared to do what it takes to win.
[1] If a team has no chance at making the playoffs - what motivation do they have to win? If a team in the playoffs benefits from [2] strategically winning or losing to benefit them in terms of who they face, that is the same as a team strategically losing to benefit their standings to secure a higher pick. If [3] it is acceptable to lose to lower your seeding in the playoffs to purposely play a team that you think you have a better chance at, than it is acceptable to lose to lower your standing to secure a higher pick. Both scenarios involve [4] strategically losing to benefit your teams outcome.
This says nothing about a team's start to the season as it does more about what they decide to do when faced with "meaningless game" situations.
Riprock wrote:But you are also not representing my arguments charitably nor the way that I am representing them - again, I never said any team sets out to lose. I also never said tanking.
You can disagree with my argument, but it's still valid and sound.
You say that psychology and/or human nature has an effect on a player or teams' motivation.
For the record, Evan is the one that uses the "meaningless game" argument, so I am using that to show how it is silly, but if it is acceptable and true as he makes it out to be, then I am showing how it can be applied to a team that has nothing to gain.
Like I said, you can disagree on a personal level, but the truth is:
If a team purposely loses a game in order to strategically finish in a lower position in the playoffs to gain an advantage by avoiding facing a certain opponent, then it is the same for a non-playoff team to purposely lose in order to gain the advantage of a higher draft pick.
You are interpreting "purposely lose" as "tanking" - which is a negative connotation. To me, tanking infers purposely setting out to lose from the beginning. I am not suggesting that - in fact, I am suggesting that when a team finds itself out of the playoffs, the beneficial thing from a utilitarian perspective is to do what is best for the team's future and try again next year.
Of course this is all contingent on players actually adopting a mentality to lose - which we do not know to be true or not. But it is either true or it is not. Also, a team (the people above the players) can do things to lessen their likelihood of winning.
I can't find the mid-season standings, but a lot of teams that find themselves at the bottom start off strong - but they cannot sustain winning.
As far as high draft picks = sound strategy for building a team, it is certainly one way to do so. You cannot deny that a team benefits from having a young, exciting, talented player to build a team around and to draw fans. While not all franchise players are drafted in the top 5, the odds of a player becoming one is more likely than not.
And if you argue that the Sens' human nature is what made them lose, how does human nature account for the other team winning? What was the difference between Ottawa's players and New Jersey's players? If it was a meaningless game, how do you explain one team playing better than the other (assuming [A] it was a meaningless game, and [B] both teams are in the playoffs)?
rooneypoo wrote:Riprock wrote:But you are also not representing my arguments charitably nor the way that I am representing them - again, I never said any team sets out to lose. I also never said tanking.
You can disagree with my argument, but it's still valid and sound.
You say that psychology and/or human nature has an effect on a player or teams' motivation.
For the record, Evan is the one that uses the "meaningless game" argument, so I am using that to show how it is silly, but if it is acceptable and true as he makes it out to be, then I am showing how it can be applied to a team that has nothing to gain.
Like I said, you can disagree on a personal level, but the truth is:
If a team purposely loses a game in order to strategically finish in a lower position in the playoffs to gain an advantage by avoiding facing a certain opponent, then it is the same for a non-playoff team to purposely lose in order to gain the advantage of a higher draft pick.
You are interpreting "purposely lose" as "tanking" - which is a negative connotation. To me, tanking infers purposely setting out to lose from the beginning. I am not suggesting that - in fact, I am suggesting that when a team finds itself out of the playoffs, the beneficial thing from a utilitarian perspective is to do what is best for the team's future and try again next year.
Of course this is all contingent on players actually adopting a mentality to lose - which we do not know to be true or not. But it is either true or it is not. Also, a team (the people above the players) can do things to lessen their likelihood of winning.
I can't find the mid-season standings, but a lot of teams that find themselves at the bottom start off strong - but they cannot sustain winning.
As far as high draft picks = sound strategy for building a team, it is certainly one way to do so. You cannot deny that a team benefits from having a young, exciting, talented player to build a team around and to draw fans. While not all franchise players are drafted in the top 5, the odds of a player becoming one is more likely than not.
And if you argue that the Sens' human nature is what made them lose, how does human nature account for the other team winning? What was the difference between Ottawa's players and New Jersey's players? If it was a meaningless game, how do you explain one team playing better than the other (assuming [A] it was a meaningless game, and (B) both teams are in the playoffs)?
^ That above is the basic premise of your entire argument, and it's the thing that I'm saying is false and untrue. I don't think teams set out to lose on purpose, ever. That is why the argument is faulty -- because the first premise is faulty, and I don't see how we reach "the truth" through a faulty first premise. I also think it's hugely misrepresentative to compare a losing team's season of losing to a winning team's 3-game losing stretch, in any sense, or to argue that their situations are at all similar, in any way.
Again, teams don't set out to lose, they show up unprepared to do everything it takes to win. That's my whole point, and that's what you're not getting here.
On the tanking thing: I've said this a 100 times, but -- drafting high is at best a 50/50 gambit, and a losing culture in the long run hurts the team. The best way to win is to build a winning culture, game in and game out. Drafting great players is great, but if it comes at the cost of a winning culture, it's bad. See CLB, FLA, NYI, etc., etc.
On why NJ won: literally, someone had to win the game. They were not exactly playing stellar hockey, either.
I wrote:If a team purposely loses a game in order to strategically finish in a lower position in the playoffs to gain an advantage by avoiding facing a certain opponent, then it is the same for a non-playoff team to purposely lose in order to gain the advantage of a higher draft pick.
That above is the basic premise of your entire argument, and it's the thing that I'm saying is false and untrue. I don't think teams set out to lose on purpose, ever. That is why the argument is faulty -- because the first premise is faulty, and I don't see how we reach "the truth" through a faulty first premise. I also think it's hugely misrepresentative to compare a losing team's season of losing to a winning team's 3-game losing stretch, in any sense, or to argue that their situations are at all similar, in any way.
Again, teams don't set out to lose, they show up unprepared to do everything it takes to win. That's my whole point, and that's what you're not getting here.
On the tanking thing: I've said this a 100 times, but -- drafting high is at best a 50/50 gambit, and a losing culture in the long run hurts the team. The best way to win is to build a winning culture, game in and game out. Drafting great players is great, but if it comes at the cost of a winning culture, it's bad. See CLB, FLA, NYI, etc., etc.
On why NJ won: literally, someone had to win the game. They were not exactly playing stellar hockey, either.
rooneypoo wrote:At this point, I'm not even convinced that you know what you're arguing. Seriously. What is your point?
All I know is, I'm clear on my position: 1) players don't set out to lose (for a pick or for a spot), 2) there's a huge difference between losers losing and winners not showing up for a game, 3) losing is no guarantee of building a winner, and 4) developing a winning culture within an organization is more important than any, any other consideration.
Riprock wrote:rooneypoo wrote:At this point, I'm not even convinced that you know what you're arguing. Seriously. What is your point?
All I know is, I'm clear on my position: 1) players don't set out to lose (for a pick or for a spot), 2) there's a huge difference between losers losing and winners not showing up for a game, 3) losing is no guarantee of building a winner, and 4) developing a winning culture within an organization is more important than any, any other consideration.
You know what? You're just an arrogant Donkey. Surely an intelligent person like you can see what I am clearly arguing - you just choose to pretend not to understand a very clearly laid out argument. Or perhaps I overestimate you because you like to flaunt your academia - but I guess PhD's mean nothing when you can't understand simple philosophical arguments.
All I KNOW is that I can present MY argument, and comprehend and acknowledge the validity of YOUR points, but you can't seem to acknowledge other people's points and just stick to your dogmatic opinions.
Big Ev wrote:Players don't set out to lose, but when teams rest players and play their backup in games down thee stretch, they couldn't care less if they win or not. They also don't get up for games when they already have a playoff spot locked in with a chance of only moving up or down one spot. The games at the end of the year are brutal pre-season like games, it's no wonder why teams don't get up for them. If you lose them, big deal. New York just lost to Washington, so they are going into the playoffs with a loss as well. So what, there's a 5 day break. Not a big deal for either team. They could have won 10 in a row and their momentum would be gone with that big layoff. I laugh when people are so shocked that teams like Columbus beat powerhouses at the end of the season
Riprock wrote:Seriously, if you are going to discuss and debate anything you might want to respect and understand other people's opinions and arguments. Otherwise why bother? You are just repeating yourself and sticking with your same arguments.
Big Ev wrote:Players don't set out to lose, but when teams rest players and play their backup in games down thee stretch, they couldn't care less if they win or not. They also don't get up for games when they already have a playoff spot locked in with a chance of only moving up or down one spot. The games at the end of the year are brutal pre-season like games, it's no wonder why teams don't get up for them. If you lose them, big deal. New York just lost to Washington, so they are going into the playoffs with a loss as well. So what, there's a 5 day break. Not a big deal for either team. They could have won 10 in a row and their momentum would be gone with that big layoff. I laugh when people are so shocked that teams like Columbus beat powerhouses at the end of the season
GM Hockey » Ottawa Senators » GAME DAY - Ottawa Senators @ New Jersey Devils, Saturday, April 7, 2012, 3:00 PM EST
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