Absolute worst case scenario for the Sens

Cap'n Clutch wrote:OK since I did the best case I think it's only fare to do worst case for all those doom and gloomers out there.

Forwards of note -

Kovalev - He lights it up at the start of the season but quickly gets bored and even more lathargic as the Sens losses pile up.

Regin - Now that Murray has pretty much admitted he's on the team he's likely a top six or at least a top 9 depending on how you number the lines. So, worse case is he gets hit like a deer caught in the headlights when faced with 1st and 2nd line talent in the real season, he falters and needs to be sent down. All of this occuring after we've traded away pieces to make room for him.

Cheechoo - Is a flop, drops to the 3rd line and ends the season with between 12 and 15 goals and 35 points.

Michalek - He doesn't have a break out year and ends with 26 goals and 55 points. Isn't nearly as good on the PK which is exagerated because Kelly was traded.

Alfie - Plays his usual strong self but sustains an injury that keeps him out an extended period of time and the Sens curl up into the fetal position until his return.

Spezza - Hasn't matured, continues his regular blind back pass to the opposition play and tries to deke 2 and 3 players on his own.

Fisher - Regin is no longer providing him with the spark to get his offense going so the experiment on the wing is over and we're back to the FFS line. It performs admirably but it's the only real offensive threat on the team. Fisher ends with 19 goals and 46 points.

Top 4 D

Kuba - He's steady but hardly ever shoots the puck on net resulting in 6 goals on the season with a respectable plus minus and 30 points on the season.

Karlsson - He's trampled over by the hard forechecking of NHL veteran opposition, makes ill advised pinches leading to goals and ends up spending a lot of time in the press box.

Phillips - Despite being put back in his shut down role he still has a poor year and a very low plus minus. He ends up being the cause of a lot of goals against.

Volchie - Remains the warrior that he is and blocks one too many shots leading to a broken bone that keeps him out for 6 months.

Goalie

Leclaire - Gets a severe groin injury in the first week that keeps him out for 4 months and even upon his return he doesn't play too well. He ends the year with a 2.95 GAA and a .899 save persentage.

Elliott - Tries to right the ship but it's clear he's still adjusting to NHL calibre shooters and is very inconsistant going from stellar to being yanked. He ends with slightly better numbers. 2.85 GAA and .902 save percentage.

Brodeur - Being called up from Bingo he only sees about 6 games because of the reliance on Elliott. He ends up with horrible numbers due to being unprepared for the task. 3.67 GAA and .788 save percentage.

Bass Destruction wrote:What should also be included in the worst case scenario:

Melnyk goes bankrupt and is forced to sell the team to Jim Balsillie, who subsequently moves the Sens to Hamilton.

asq2 wrote:In order for that to be a real worse-case scenario, we have to trade our first rounder to the Leafs in an ill-advised move to try to shore up the defence.

Otherwise we walk out with Taylor Hall. Not so bad.

Cap'n Clutch wrote:

asq2 wrote:In order for that to be a real worse-case scenario, we have to trade our first rounder to the Leafs in an ill-advised move to try to shore up the defence.

Otherwise we walk out with Taylor Hall. Not so bad.

I was just looking at worst case for the top forwards, top D and goalies. It just doesn't roll off the tounge as a topic title as well Seriously though if we're looking at the team result then wouldn't missing the playoffs by 1 point or losing the tie breaker be a pretty bad scenario as well?

Bass Destruction wrote:What should also be included in the worst case scenario:

Melnyk goes bankrupt and is forced to sell the team to Jim Balsillie, who subsequently moves the Sens to Hamilton.

asq2 wrote:

Cap'n Clutch wrote:

asq2 wrote:In order for that to be a real worse-case scenario, we have to trade our first rounder to the Leafs in an ill-advised move to try to shore up the defence.

Otherwise we walk out with Taylor Hall. Not so bad.

I was just looking at worst case for the top forwards, top D and goalies. It just doesn't roll off the tounge as a topic title as well Seriously though if we're looking at the team result then wouldn't missing the playoffs by 1 point or losing the tie breaker be a pretty bad scenario as well?

I suppose that's true, but I find it hard to imagine that all of these negative results wouldn't make us a bottom feeder.

By the way, though, Fisher getting 19 goals and 46 points is a worst-case scenario? He had 13 goals and 32 points this past season.

Cap'n Clutch wrote:

asq2 wrote:

Cap'n Clutch wrote:

asq2 wrote:In order for that to be a real worse-case scenario, we have to trade our first rounder to the Leafs in an ill-advised move to try to shore up the defence.

Otherwise we walk out with Taylor Hall. Not so bad.

I was just looking at worst case for the top forwards, top D and goalies. It just doesn't roll off the tounge as a topic title as well Seriously though if we're looking at the team result then wouldn't missing the playoffs by 1 point or losing the tie breaker be a pretty bad scenario as well?

I suppose that's true, but I find it hard to imagine that all of these negative results wouldn't make us a bottom feeder.

Though I'm too lazy to look up the actual reference, I'm certain that Cap made a point of saying that the FFS line is the only offensive threat on a sub-par team in this worst case scenario.
By the way, though, Fisher getting 19 goals and 46 points is a worst-case scenario? He had 13 goals and 32 points this past season.

Well not everyone is going to stink up the joint. In this scenario I'm assuming the FFS chemistry stays in tact from last season. I think even in a worst case scenario you can't have everyone suck rocks can you?

Cap'n Clutch wrote:

asq2 wrote:

Cap'n Clutch wrote:

asq2 wrote:In order for that to be a real worse-case scenario, we have to trade our first rounder to the Leafs in an ill-advised move to try to shore up the defence.

Otherwise we walk out with Taylor Hall. Not so bad.

I was just looking at worst case for the top forwards, top D and goalies. It just doesn't roll off the tounge as a topic title as well Seriously though if we're looking at the team result then wouldn't missing the playoffs by 1 point or losing the tie breaker be a pretty bad scenario as well?

I suppose that's true, but I find it hard to imagine that all of these negative results wouldn't make us a bottom feeder.

By the way, though, Fisher getting 19 goals and 46 points is a worst-case scenario? He had 13 goals and 32 points this past season.

Well not everyone is going to stink up the joint. In this scenario I'm assuming the FFS chemistry stays in tact from last season. I think even in a worst case scenario you can't have everyone suck rocks can you?

asq2 wrote:

Cap'n Clutch wrote:

asq2 wrote:

Cap'n Clutch wrote:

asq2 wrote:In order for that to be a real worse-case scenario, we have to trade our first rounder to the Leafs in an ill-advised move to try to shore up the defence.

Otherwise we walk out with Taylor Hall. Not so bad.

I was just looking at worst case for the top forwards, top D and goalies. It just doesn't roll off the tounge as a topic title as well Seriously though if we're looking at the team result then wouldn't missing the playoffs by 1 point or losing the tie breaker be a pretty bad scenario as well?

I suppose that's true, but I find it hard to imagine that all of these negative results wouldn't make us a bottom feeder.

By the way, though, Fisher getting 19 goals and 46 points is a worst-case scenario? He had 13 goals and 32 points this past season.

Well not everyone is going to stink up the joint. In this scenario I'm assuming the FFS chemistry stays in tact from last season. I think even in a worst case scenario you can't have everyone suck rocks can you?

Perhaps, but individually-speaking 19 goals and 46 points for Fisher is closer to a best-case scenario. That's a pretty dramatic improvement in his numbers.