asq2 wrote: FireOnIce wrote: asq2 wrote: FireOnIce wrote:Asq, I am going to assume that you like prospects as per your avatar and signature.
I think that is also why you highly overrate them. In your first paragraph, you name 8 prospects. You do realize that the odds are that only one of the 8 reach their projected potential. 3 will not make 100 games in the NHL and the other 4 will have average careers.
The above stats are taken from the Top 10 picks in every first round draft their has ever been and an average was created. Some of your listed names are not Top 10 picks, but I gave you the benefit of the doubt.
No, I was not aware that prospects have the possibility of busting.
I'm just saying that to say Toronto is set-up going forward as you put it, is not how I see it.
Sorry for disagreeing with you I guess.
Thanks for the discussion.
You don't have to apologize. That was a bit of an arseholeish response from me. I was just getting my thoughts together.
You're right, prospects do bust - frequently. Obviously, the discussions we have are on-paper (or on-screen discussions), so we tend to look at what players are supposed to be, rather than what they are. Heck, you also don't know if a player is going to pull a Wade Redden '05-'06 to '06-'07 -type decline (to put it mildly).
The weakness, as you've pointed out, for the organization is that they don't have young talent that's proven at the NHL level at the forward position. Trust that they are not the only team banking on improving a position dramatically via integration of prospects: heck, the Sens are praying like crazy that Karlsson, Cowen and Wiercioch can fulfill their respective potentials.
The Leafs don't have much talent at the forward position period, so they're going to have to look to the future to compete, ie. at their prospects. I feel Burke has laid a good foundation in that regard, though I suggest he should look at acquiring a corner-stone forward (and since I'm not sure they have the assets or the opportunity to acquire a young, proven one, they'll have to take a chance on a high-end prospect). I was also not a fan of them moving Stralman, because they don't have many youthful puck-movers.
Anyway, I guess I feel they're doing well because they've got young talent (albeit unproven talent) at every position, and they're largely unstrangled by big contracts. As teams with proven young talent begin to feel the squeeze (say, the Pittsburghs, Columbuses and Chicagos), the Leafs will be able to step in, acquire some talent while ideally having their own youth mature and develop.