I think the Leafs land their major UFA next season.
They have approx $26 million locked up on their D (including Finger who may be bought out (what a stupid signing)) and Giguere at $6 million (who is a UFA next summer). That's $32 million for their defense and goalie. Add in Kessell at $5.4 million at you're at approximately $37.5 million for 8 players. I know the Leafs have a lot of younger guys expected to make the team next year, but adding a Marleau-sized contract (let's say it's $6 million times 5 years) handicaps them a lot moving forward when their younger guys are all due for raises. I think they'd try to surround Kessell with more than one guy this year and sign a big name the year after when Giguere is off the books (Thornton, Semin, B. Richards, etc).
There really isn't much available outside of a trade this year, but the Leafs don't have much left in terms of picks and likely won't give up their prospects for roster players again (see Rask, Boyes, etc). I guess Kaberle is the key for the Leafs getting a legit top-six forward but he is the biggest piece of their blueline. Would a blueline of Schenn (over-rated), Komisarek (over-rated), Phaneuf, Finger (uch) and Beauchemin (old) really scare that many people? Maybe physically but definitely not offensively.
Marleau will likely go to LA or Anaheim to stay in California.
They have approx $26 million locked up on their D (including Finger who may be bought out (what a stupid signing)) and Giguere at $6 million (who is a UFA next summer). That's $32 million for their defense and goalie. Add in Kessell at $5.4 million at you're at approximately $37.5 million for 8 players. I know the Leafs have a lot of younger guys expected to make the team next year, but adding a Marleau-sized contract (let's say it's $6 million times 5 years) handicaps them a lot moving forward when their younger guys are all due for raises. I think they'd try to surround Kessell with more than one guy this year and sign a big name the year after when Giguere is off the books (Thornton, Semin, B. Richards, etc).
There really isn't much available outside of a trade this year, but the Leafs don't have much left in terms of picks and likely won't give up their prospects for roster players again (see Rask, Boyes, etc). I guess Kaberle is the key for the Leafs getting a legit top-six forward but he is the biggest piece of their blueline. Would a blueline of Schenn (over-rated), Komisarek (over-rated), Phaneuf, Finger (uch) and Beauchemin (old) really scare that many people? Maybe physically but definitely not offensively.
Marleau will likely go to LA or Anaheim to stay in California.