beerandsens wrote:
Agreed. At the beginning of the summer/free agency period I had high hopes for Murray making the moves necessary to turn this team around. It took a little time, but what a difference he's made in the few moves he's executed.
I'll say it again and again, he's a hockey genius. Or at least, that's what it looks like now, we'll see what the on ice product looks like this fall.
I'd like to hear your thoughts... a short time ago a few people here were concerned that the Sens' window of opportunity was closing for at least a couple of years, has that outlook changed at all?
Well, looking at our projected roster, there's no denying that we're not the dominant team that we once were.
Up front: after our amazing top line and Vermette and Fisher, our secondary scoring hopes lie primarily with Foligno, Winchester, Kelly, and Neil. I don't really buy into the myth that we have 'no' secondary scoring, but there's no denying that we're not an especially deep team in terms of scoring forwards, like Carolina usually is or Edmonton is starting to become. Still, I'm expecting big seasons again from our top 3, 50-60 point seasons from both Vermette and Fisher, and I'm hoping that Winchester and/or Foligno can make an impact with, say, something like 35-40 points. My hopes with Winchester, especially, lie in the fact that Murray has a knack for pulling good players out of college -- Penner, Perry, etc. -- and I'm hoping that something similar will happen with Winchester. Still, there's no denying that we're putting our hopes in 1 of our 2 rookies to step up and play in the top 6, and that doesn't exactly scream scoring depth. We do have lots of character and toughness in our bottom 6, tho', and I think we'll have a 4th line that we can trust with regular shifts and something like 8-10 minutes of ice time per game, which is something we haven't had for a while now.
Backend: I'm starting to really like this D. With the addition of Kuba, we're going to be
very big. Smith, Volchenkov, and Schubert (assuming he takes that last spot) will be punishing forwards with big hits all year long. The offence coming from the D is not going to be what we're used to: Kuba, I'm sure, while come close to or eclipse the 40 point mark, but after that we're putting our hopes in a rookie (Lee) and Schubert. If both of those guys can hit 30 points this season, we'll have nothing to complain about -- but that's a lot of production to expect from them given their history and experience. We've got capable first-passers in all our pairings, tho' -- Phillips, Lee, and Schubert -- so I'm hoping our transition game will still be decent, although there's no denying that we're going to miss the passing abilities of guys like Redden, Meszaros, and Corvo. This should be a hardworking, lunch-pail-and-hard-hat kind of D, and I'm expecting us to be much stronger defensively, but it's going to produce a lot less than we're used to.
Goal: our weakest spot, I hope we can all agree, as it has always been. Gerber can be decent; if he can pull some consistency out of his @ss, we might be OK. Auld is capable; he especially impressed me during his time in Boston last year. Neither guy is an all-star, tho'. I think the best we can hope for is decent goaltending -- making the saves that should be made, but very few standing-on-your-head performances or stealing of games. At the same time, I don't think we need anything other than steady, middle-of-the-road goaltending with the D we have and the overall defensive system I expect Hartsburg to put into place. The big question is whether or not or goalies will be able to make the simple, expected saves that need to be made. If they can't, I expect team morale to plumment, and our play along with it.
Overall, this is a team that will compete this year. Installing Hartsburg as our coach is a move that his been massively underrated, I think; if his time with the juniors in the last 3 years is any indication, he's a guy who can implement a strong defensive system and an aggressive forechecking structure. I think a 4-6th place finish likely. Anything lower than that would surprise me; anything higher would surprise me, too, tho', as I expect one of Montreal or Boston to take 1st in the east. I don't think our 'window' is gone, although -- to stick with the metaphor -- it is less wide open this year than it was 2-3 years ago. We've got most of our core locked up for years; we've left ourselves significant cap space to improve our D and/or our goaltending in the next year if that's what we want to do. I expect the 2009-10 Sens, in fact, will be much stronger than we've seen in a while, and that's because I expect us to address our woes in net and/or to acquire an offensive D sometime in the next 10 months.