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Loonie is headed back to parity -- what does that mean to NHL in Canada?

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wprager

wprager
Administrator
Administrator

What's the BoC's take on the Loonie?
http://www.ottawacitizen.com/business/fp/What+Bank+Canada+take+loonie/1636497/story.html


In the days of former governor, David Dodge, the Bank of Canada
categorized currency movements into two scenarios: ‘type one’ and ‘type
two.’ Type one movements are based on domestic fundamentals, such as
commodity prices, GDP and fiscal balances, while type two movements are
a result of external factors, such as a depreciation in the U.S. dollar
due to current account concerns.

...

With Canadian interest rates at a record low 0.25%, the Bank’s only
ammunition against a type two appreciation would be a move into
unconventional quantitative or credit easing, whereby the government
buys up bonds in order to drive yields lower, stimulating the economy. But this is a form of monetary policy the bank has indicated it would prefer to steer clear of.

The loonie hit 90 cents US intra-day, yesterday. Interest rates cannot be lowered any further and it's widely believed that we're headed back to parity.

What does this mean to the NHL in Canada?

A year or so ago there was talk how the 6 NHL clubs were making the majority of the profit (to say nothing of the income) in the NHL, mainly because of the loonie's climb. It seemed like a prudent business decision to finally open the door for expansion (or moves) into more Canadian markets. Then the loonie cooled off, dropping top around 80 cents, and the talk mostly died down (Ballsillie's attempts notwithstanding).

Well, here we grow again. The NHL cannot ignore this trend. Several US clubs are struggling -- to put it mildly. What's the point of making a 20K seat arena a pre-requisite when you have to give tickets away just to fill it half-full? Why not actually collect money from 15,000 paying customers in Winnipeg or Quebec? The Copps Coliseum can hold nearly 18,000.

Come on, Bettman, what's your next move?

shabbs

shabbs
Hall of Famer
Hall of Famer

If the loonies would stay up there, sure... but once the US economy recovers, it will no doubt go back down to it's usual hovering range.

wprager

wprager
Administrator
Administrator

shabbs wrote:If the loonies would stay up there, sure... but once the US economy recovers, it will no doubt go back down to it's usual hovering range.

Oil is back over $60/barrel and will stay there. Interest rates are at historical lows. Recovery will be slow and painful. Even if it only takes 3-5 years, the extra profit the league will make over those years would be sufficient to keep operating the Canadian based clubs for a few years past that. And, frankly, who knows how Winnipeg and Quebec would have managed in a cap league in the first place?

One thing we know for sure, Phoenix and a few other franchises are leeching profits from the league and are hurting the NHLPA as well.

SeawaySensFan

SeawaySensFan
Franchise Player
Franchise Player

The truth is the US currency is buoyed by country's reputation of being a "rich" country. The fact is there is no real intrinsic value in the US dollar. In fact the Treasury is overextended and the US dollar is worthless.

shabbs

shabbs
Hall of Famer
Hall of Famer

SeawaySensFan wrote:The truth is the US currency is buoyed by country's reputation of being a "rich" country. The fact is there is no real intrinsic value in the US dollar. In fact the Treasury is overextended and the US dollar is worthless.
So, then we're 90 cents of worthless...

Wink

wprager

wprager
Administrator
Administrator

shabbs wrote:
SeawaySensFan wrote:The truth is the US currency is buoyed by country's reputation of being a "rich" country. The fact is there is no real intrinsic value in the US dollar. In fact the Treasury is overextended and the US dollar is worthless.
So, then we're 90 cents of worthless...

Wink

Doesn't matter. Par is par. 15,000 paying customers is better than 5,000 plus another 5,00 freebies.

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